Increased Amazon carbon emissions mainly from decline in law enforcement

dc.contributor.authorGATTI, LUCIANA V.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorCUNHA, CAMILLA L.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorMARANI, LUCIANOpt_BR
dc.contributor.authorCASSOL, HENRIQUE L.G.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorMESSIAS, CASSIANO G.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorARAI, EGIDIOpt_BR
dc.contributor.authorDENNING, SCOTT A.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorSOLER, LUCIANA S.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorALMEIDA, CLAUDIOpt_BR
dc.contributor.authorSETZER, ALBERTOpt_BR
dc.contributor.authorDOMINGUES, LUCAS G.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorBASSO, LUANA S.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorMILLER, JOHN B.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorGLOOR, MANUELpt_BR
dc.contributor.authorCORREIA, CAIO S.C.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorTEJADA, GRACIELApt_BR
dc.contributor.authorNEVES, RAIANE A.L.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorRAJÃO, RAONIpt_BR
dc.contributor.authorNUNES, FELIPEpt_BR
dc.contributor.authorS.FILHO, BRITALDO S.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorSCHMITT, JAIRpt_BR
dc.contributor.authorNOBRE, CARLOSpt_BR
dc.contributor.authorCORRÊA, SERGIO M.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorSANCHES, ALBER H.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorARAGÃO, LUIZ E.O.C.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorANDERSON, LIANApt_BR
dc.contributor.authorVON RANDOW, CELSOpt_BR
dc.contributor.authorCRISPIM, STEPHANE P.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorSILVA, FRANCINE M.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorMACHADO, GUILHERME B.M.pt_BR
dc.coverageInternacional
dc.date.accessioned2024-01-26T18:34:11Z
dc.date.available2024-01-26T18:34:11Z
dc.date.issued2023pt_BR
dc.description.abstractThe Amazon forest carbon sink is declining, mainly as a result of land-use and climate change1–4. Here we investigate how changes in law enforcement of environmental protection policies may have affected the Amazonian carbon balance between 2010 and 2018 compared with 2019 and 2020, based on atmospheric CO2 vertical profiles5,6, deforestation7 and fire data8, as well as infraction notices related to illegal deforestation9. We estimate that Amazonia carbon emissions increased from a mean of 0.24 ± 0.08 PgC year−1 in 2010–2018 to 0.44 ± 0.10 PgC year−1 in 2019 and 0.52 ± 0.10 PgC year−1 in 2020 (± uncertainty). The observed increases in deforestation were 82% and 77% (94% accuracy) and burned area were 14% and 42% in 2019 and 2020 compared with the 2010–2018 mean, respectively. We find that the numbers of notifications of infractions against flora decreased by 30% and 54% and fines paid by 74% and 89% in 2019 and 2020, respectively. Carbon losses during 2019–2020 were comparable with those of the record warm El Niño (2015–2016) without an extreme drought event. Statistical tests show that the observed differences between the 2010– 2018 mean and 2019–2020 are unlikely to have arisen by chance. The changes in the carbon budget of Amazonia during 2019–2020 were mainly because of western Amazonia becoming a carbon source. Our results indicate that a decline in law enforcement led to increases in deforestation, biomass burning and forest degradation, which increased carbon emissions and enhanced drying and warming of the Amazon forests.pt_BR
dc.description.sponsorshipFundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)pt_BR
dc.description.sponsorshipUK Environmental Research Council (NERC)pt_BR
dc.description.sponsorshipThe National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)pt_BR
dc.description.sponsorshipEuropean Union (EU)pt_BR
dc.description.sponsorshipConselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)pt_BR
dc.description.sponsorshipEuropean Research Council (ERC)pt_BR
dc.description.sponsorshipIDFAPESP: 16/02018-2; 11/51841-0; 08/58120-3, 21/09020-0; 18/14006-4; 18/14423-4; 18/18493-7; 19/21789-8; 11/17914-0pt_BR
dc.description.sponsorshipIDNERC: NE/F005806/1pt_BR
dc.description.sponsorshipIDNASA: 11-CMS11-0025, NRMJ1000-17-00431pt_BR
dc.description.sponsorshipIDEU: 283080pt_BR
dc.description.sponsorshipIDCNPq: 134878/2009-4; 444418/2018-0pt_BR
dc.description.sponsorshipIDERC: 649087pt_BR
dc.format.extent318-323pt_BR
dc.identifier.citationGATTI, LUCIANA V.; CUNHA, CAMILLA L.; MARANI, LUCIANO; CASSOL, HENRIQUE L.G.; MESSIAS, CASSIANO G.; ARAI, EGIDIO; DENNING, SCOTT A.; SOLER, LUCIANA S.; ALMEIDA, CLAUDIO; SETZER, ALBERTO; DOMINGUES, LUCAS G.; BASSO, LUANA S.; MILLER, JOHN B.; GLOOR, MANUEL; CORREIA, CAIO S.C.; TEJADA, GRACIELA; NEVES, RAIANE A.L.; RAJÃO, RAONI; NUNES, FELIPE; S.FILHO, BRITALDO S.; SCHMITT, JAIR; NOBRE, CARLOS; CORRÊA, SERGIO M.; SANCHES, ALBER H.; ARAGÃO, LUIZ E.O.C.; ANDERSON, LIANA; VON RANDOW, CELSO; CRISPIM, STEPHANE P.; SILVA, FRANCINE M.; MACHADO, GUILHERME B.M. Increased Amazon carbon emissions mainly from decline in law enforcement. <b>Nature</b>, v. 621, p. 318-323, 2023. DOI: <a href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-06390-0">10.1038/s41586-023-06390-0</a>. Disponível em: http://repositorio.ipen.br/handle/123456789/34370.
dc.identifier.doi10.1038/s41586-023-06390-0pt_BR
dc.identifier.issn0028-0836
dc.identifier.orcid0000-0003-4908-8974pt_BR
dc.identifier.orcidhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-4908-8974
dc.identifier.percentilfi99.6
dc.identifier.percentilfiCiteScore99.00
dc.identifier.urihttp://repositorio.ipen.br/handle/123456789/34370
dc.identifier.vol621pt_BR
dc.relation.ispartofNature
dc.rightsclosedAccesspt_BR
dc.subjectclimatic change
dc.subjectgreenhouse gases
dc.subjectdeforestation
dc.subjectcarbon cycle
dc.subjectlaw
dc.subjectenforcement
dc.subjectenvironmental policy
dc.subjecttropical regions
dc.subjectenvironmental impacts
dc.subjectamazon river
dc.titleIncreased Amazon carbon emissions mainly from decline in law enforcementpt_BR
dc.typeArtigo de periódicopt_BR
dspace.entity.typePublication
ipen.autorCAIO SILVESTRE DE CARVALHO CORREIA
ipen.autorLUCAS GATTI DOMINGUES
ipen.autorLUCIANA VANNI GATTI
ipen.codigoautor9389
ipen.codigoautor6548
ipen.codigoautor670
ipen.contributor.ipenauthorCAIO SILVESTRE DE CARVALHO CORREIA
ipen.contributor.ipenauthorLUCAS GATTI DOMINGUES
ipen.contributor.ipenauthorLUCIANA VANNI GATTI
ipen.date.recebimento24-01
ipen.identifier.fi50.5
ipen.identifier.fiCiteScore90.0
ipen.identifier.ipendoc29913
ipen.identifier.iwosWoSpt_BR
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ipen.range.percentilfi75.00 - 100.00
ipen.type.genreArtigo
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationacc5922b-1651-48af-a115-39477da9c65f
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sigepi.autor.atividadeCORREIA, CAIO S.C.:9389:-1:Npt_BR
sigepi.autor.atividadeDOMINGUES, LUCAS G.:6548:1010:Npt_BR
sigepi.autor.atividadeGATTI, LUCIANA V.:670:1010:Spt_BR
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