Antifragility and radioactive waste management
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Essays on nuclear energy and radioactive waste management
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Resumo
It is not possible to quantify the future, since it is unknown
to us. Mathematical models fail when the ambiguity of facts overrides
them. Nevertheless, the traditional risk management, with its
difficulty in predicting elements that challenge the linear thinking, has
in recent years had a strong partner: Antifragility. Unlike disciplines
that seek to mitigate the risks of the unpredictable, antifragility views
uncertainty as desirable and necessary. It is a recent discipline that
breaks the paradigm of always being more effective and efficient;
instead, the focus is on the fragile points of an institution, and how to
incorporate in it the ability to get stronger over time, as it is subject
to stress. Decision making is ultimately a bet. And when it comes to
strategic decisions, these are usually high-risk bets because they
financially affect the organization, or even the safety of a group, a
city, or a country. And the vast majority of decisions are increasingly
being made in situations without the full picture of a defined causal
model being available. In the case of the nuclear area, it is a field of
intense control due to the risk of excessive radiological exposure,
and as such it requires a rigorous and continuous risk management,
including the management of radioactive waste which is produced
in its most various fields of action. Based on this approach, this work
seeks to analyze possible fragilities in the institutional, staff and
technological areas of the Radioactive Waste Management Service
of the Nuclear and Energy Research Institute, in the city of São Paulo,
and therefore present potential solutions under the perspective of
antifragility, aiming at improving the safety of the human being and
the environment.
Como referenciar
SMITH, RICARDO B.; TESSARO, ANA P.G.; MARUMO, JULIO T.; VICENTE, ROBERTO. Antifragility and radioactive waste management. In: SMITH, RICARDO B. (org.). Essays on nuclear energy and radioactive waste management. 1 ed.. São Paulo, SP: Gênio Criador Editora, 2021. , cap. 9. p. 130-148. Disponível em: http://repositorio.ipen.br/handle/123456789/33819. Acesso em: 30 Dec 2025.
Esta referência é gerada automaticamente de acordo com as normas do estilo IPEN/SP (ABNT NBR 6023) e recomenda-se uma verificação final e ajustes caso necessário.